Is anyone else detecting a pattern here?
In a defiance of reason and gravity, when national congressional generic ballot has actually gone south a full percentage point since the last tine CNU Wason polled, embattled Democratic gubernatorial nominee Ralph Northam is supposed to have gained in the polls despite two of the worst weeks in Democratic campaign history.
Oh — and John Adams? Rather than being within the margin of error, the AG race is now Herring +11.
TRS’s Brian Kirwin demolished the last CNU Wason poll by bringing to the light their reputation for accuracy in polling, showing wild 8pt to 9pt swings in the past. Frankly, these poll numbers — while on the surface present some objectivity — nevertheless presents a few headscratchers.
Gillespie has consistently led with independents with close to a 9-point lead; Wason puts this lead closer to 4pts. 65% of the poll are college educated or better, with a whopping 30% of the numbers being graduate-level (both demographics are known to skew left — graduate students overwhelmingly so).
Actual attainment rates? 36% for a college degree; 15% for graduate level work. There’s your skew.
Want more? 41% of the individuals polled indicated they made over $100K a year. Individuals, not households.
So instead of a Virginia poll, we got a poll of the limousine liberals… and even they aren’t entirely sold on the prospect of a Northam-led Democratic ticket.
Ouch.
