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Shaun Kenney

Shaun Kenney is the Senior Editor for The Republican Standard.

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So Is McAuliffe Going To Reschedule That Meeting With Law Enforcement?

Embattled Democratic gubernatorial nominee Ralph Northam really seems to enjoy skipping out on meetings.  Apparently, that means of doing business is catching on in the Governor’s Mansion, and Republican gubernatorial nominee Ed Gillespie’s challenge to Northam last night to fix the problem seems to be going unheeded.

The full transcript is as follows:

GILLESPIE: Ralph, you heard me mention the meeting that the governor cancelled with the Virginia Sheriffs’ and I was truly disappointed by that. They are a non-partisan organization They are on the front lines of trying to protect our safety of our commonwealth. I am proud to be endorsed by a majority of our sheriffs, including Ronnie Oakes, who I think is here this evening. But they should not be punished as an organization trying to stand up for the deputies and to make sure that we have proper compensation. They are on the front lines of many of the problems we have talked about here tonight, the opioid, and heroin and mental health epidemic. And I would like to ask you tonight if you will join me in having Governor McAuliffe, I’ll urge him but you can obviously get him to do it, to reschedule that meeting and to do that before November 7th, and listen to those sheriffs and find out what their needs are and what they are looking for in their annual meeting that they have scheduled on an annual basis, a routine meeting where they talk about their budget. Would you do that?

NORTHAM: Well I’m glad you asked the question, Ed, because I was going to respond to that earlier, but Paul wouldn’t allow the time, which I certainly understand. But I had absolutely nothing to do with the cancellation of that meeting. And I want to just let people out there know, I grew up on the Eastern Shore, my brother is an attorney, my father and grandfather both judges, I have always had a tremendous respect for law enforcement. I have always had great relationships with our sheriffs and deputies, with our state police, with our local law enforcement. And in 2011, Ed – I don’t know if you knew this because I realize you were up in Washington lobbying at that time – but I actually won the award for legislator of the year from the Virginia Sheriffs’ Department. And I was very proud of that. And that was because, as you might know, there are 140 legislators, I won the award, Ed, in 2011. So I have always been very supportive our sheriffs and deputies, I will continue to be. I have fought for pay raises over the years, and as I have said a couple of times tonight, a $1.4 billion hole in our budget is not a good way to support local law enforcement, sheriffs and our Virginia state police.

GILLESPIE: For whatever it’s worth Ralph, for the past – more than a decade have had a business in Old Town, Alexandria, and I left the firm that you are talking about more than a decade ago. But the fact is, you just made clear that law enforcement is not a priority for you. You’re not going to urge the governor to have that meeting. I will do it right now. Governor McAuliffe, please reschedule that meeting with the Virginia Sheriffs’ Association. Listen to their needs, find out what they need in terms of their budgets to meet the challenges that we face here in opioid, and heroin epidemic, and mental health as well. That is a priority for me and it is one of the reasons I’m so proud to have a majority of the sheriffs endorsing me in the Commonwealth of Virginia as well as the Police Benevolent Association and the Fraternal Order of Police because I have policies that will make Virginia safer, and I will have their back as our governor. And I’m proud to have their endorsement, I wish the governor wouldn’t engage in politics when it comes to people who are on the front lines of keeping us safe in our communities every day.

“McAuliffe’s office did not dispute Jones’ claim that the meeting was canceled due to political feuding…” (Richmond Times-Dispatch, 9/29/17)

Another meeting missed; another responsibility dodged; another poor ROI for Northam’s New York financiers….

At some point, the Democrats cut their losses and focus on Herring.  With just four weeks to go and the polls showing all three statewide races within the margin of error, the shock of a Republican sweep in 2017 would be violent and sharp to Democratic chances in the 2018 mid-terms.

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Ress: Ideas On Why The CNU Poll Might Be Wrong

David Ress over at The Daily Press’ Shad Plank Blog take a guess as to why the CNU Wason Center poll (and by extension, the Washington Post poll) is so wildly off center:

The students polled 928 active registered voters, and 616 passed their likely voter screen. The spread for voter preference reflects a design effect adjustment and statistical theory says poll conducted the same way should end up with the same result 95 times out of 100.

A caveat that Wason Center director Quentin Kidd points out: many GOP-leaning Virginians are reluctant to tell pollsters how they’ll vote, which can mean a Democrat’s lead, particularly a few weeks out, can be overstated.

I’m not so certain that gets either poll out of the woods.  Something went tragically wrong in both — the question is, what?

Some of the problems have already been outlined.  But what do you do when Republicans — already skeptical of a media that seems to have teeth bared and claws out for anything “outside of the mainstream” i.e. mildly right of center — refuse to participate in the Democratic bubble of information?

It’s a straight-up credibility problem.

Most of this, of course, is a straight up credibility problem among media outlets in general who put their thumb on the scale when it comes to news and information.  A small dose of this is the democratization of media — and in Virginia, the proliferation of alternative outlets for contrasting viewpoints — not to mention the potential for abuse through “fake news” and other malignant operations.

The last ingredient?  Good old fashioned confirmation bias.  Folks simply want to read and see what they want to read and see.  Witness the operation of late night comedy shows being leaned upon as actual news sources, something Jon Stewart manufactured during the anti-Bush era and has been a short-circuit around actual debate for the better part of a decade:

In very much the same way, news condensed to 800 words or more distills into quips and witticisms — and more dangerously, viewpoints cloaked in journalistic prose.

Republicans have simply inoculated themselves, and in an era where one false move, one data point, one poll answer, or one misstep can brand you a bigot, hater, racist, sexist, or what have you?  It’s not small wonder why Republicans are dodging the public square and voting their conscience.

Of course, this will probably sound a tad bit hyperbolic.  After all, it’s only a poll.  But to some degree, it reflects a wider mistrust among conservatives and independents (and traditionalists of every stripe) to mistrust institutions that have decided to nudge the body politic in a way they simply haven’t arrived upon themselves.  Vacal Havel wrote about this concept in Power for the Powerless — we have literally arrived at a point where the town is painted in slogans no one reads.

…and that’s how you get Trump.

It just might be how Virginia gets Gillespie as well.